The new Virginia Commonwealth University poll gives Spanberger an advantage over Earle-Sears, with 48 percent of respondents saying they plan to vote for the Democratic candidate and only 36 percent backing the Republican.

Wilder School Commonwealth poll finds Democratic candidate and former Congresswoman Abigail Spanberger leading Republican Virginia Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, 49% to 37%, among registered voters. A December 2024 VCU poll showed Spanberger ahead of Earle-Sears,